Warnning: SPArToS is an experimental product under validation process.
The Table lists the anayzed events by SPArToS/CiESMEX. The Table shows the detection (date-hour), detection speed, forecasted arrival (date-time and speed), and commentaries. Further details about the table's data coud be found at the page's bottom.
| Detection | V_0 [km/s] | Arrival prediction | Commentaries |
| 20150621-0236 | 1300+/-200 | 20150622-2100+/-12.4h 765+/-140 km/s |
The event was reported at the Special Report issues 20150621 and 20150621-post-event. |
| 20150622-17:39 | 1059+/-120 | 20150624-15:15± 7.3 h 787+/-139 km/s |
The event was reported at the Special Report issues 20150622 and 20150622-post-event. |
| 20151228-1200 | 600+/-150 | 20151231-1700+/-8h 450+/-100 km/s |
According coronagraph images, the event trajectory is SW. Hence, it is unlikly that this event affects the geospace. The event was reported at the Special Report issue 20151228. |
| 20160418-0136 | 800+/-200 | N/A | The associated active region was located at N10W66. Hence, it is unlikly that this event affects the geospace. |
| 20160705-2236 | 760+/-250 | N/A |
This event is related with a solar filament expulsion. The filament was oriented in a NS direction. The filament's initial orientation and it location (30W15N) suggest that it it is unlikly that this event affects the geospace. |
| 20160717-1336 | 310+/-60 |
20160721-0300+/-4h |
Coronograph images suggest that this is a narrow CME. Its initial trajectory follows a NW direction. Both contidions suggest that it is unlikly that this event affects the geospace. Nevertheless, according with the initial conditions of the event, we proceed to calculate its in-situ arrival. The event was reported at the Special Report issue 20160719. |
| 20160906-0848 | 500+/-100 |
N/A |
The event's source region is on the hidden side of solar disk. Hence, the trajectory of the event is not in directio of Earth. In consequence, this event will not affect the enviopment of Earth. |
| 20170714-0140 | 800+/-100 | 20170716-1600+/-10.1h 570+/-106 km/s |
211028-1548
The event's source region is located in the south-west of solar disc (S07W34). Is highly probably that the lateral region of the solar storm affects the Earth. The prediction by the WSA-ENLIL model (NOAA-SWPC) suggests that the solar storm arrival will be on July 16th, at 17:00. |
| 20170906-1239 | 1350+/-200 | CME: 20170908-1240+/-8h Shock: 20170908-1130+/-9h 690+/-150 km/ |
ISSUED: [06/09/2017-16:27UT] The event's source region is located in the south-west of solar disc (S08W28). Is highly probably that the lateral region of the solar storm affects the Earth. It is needed a confirmation for the CME initial speed. |
| 20201207-1636 |
1500+/-250 -nowcast- |
CME: 20201209-1040+/-8h |
ISSUED: [08/12/2020-17:01 UT] The source region is located at the south of the solar disk's center (S25W08). It is highly problably that the CME's flank affects the Earth's space neighborghood. The initial speed used for this forecasting was not definitive. |
| 20211028-1548 |
1059+/-392 -nowcast- |
EMC: 20211030-1900+/-4h Shock: 20211030-1600+/-3h |
ISSUED: [29/10/2021-00:30UT] The source region is located near the solar disk's center (S28W01). In addition, the orientation of the magnetic flux rope in solar corona makes of this event potentially geoactive if Bz south polarity is dominant in the frontal region of the CME's flux rope. |
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Further details on our forecast system can be found at the system's description web or by direct communication with the responsible researcher: Dr. Pedro Corona Romero.