Warnning: SPArToS is an experimental product under validation process.
SPArToS (from the Spanish for Solar Storms Arrival Prediction System) is an early-alert system to predict the arrival of coronal mass ejections and associated shock waves to Earth's neighborhood. SPArToS is based on the Piston-Shock model. SPArToS provides to the user the time and date at which a potentially dangerous solar storm would arrive to the Earth's neighborhood.
A list of all our arrival predictions can be found at our analyzed events catalog.
Detection | V_0 [km/s] | Arrival prediction | Commentaries |
20231128-2012 |
650+/-80 - preliminar |
CME: 20231201-17:40+/-11.5h with a speed of 534 +/- 87 km/s. |
ISSUED: [29/11/2023-19:08 UT] The detection of a halo-EMC is reported, wich source region is located near the solar disk's center (S20W04). The orientation and position of the magnetic structure that likely originated the CME make it possible for the frontal region of the CME to impact the Earth during the next days.
Finally, the initial orientation at the solar atmosphere of the magnetic structure associated with the event suggests that the CME could be geoeffective. |
____________________________________________________________________________