Interplanetary trajectory of CMEs Catalog

Catalog of Earth-directed CME trajectories calculated by the piston-shock model. The errors associated with the model are described here.

The equations of piston-shock model to compute CME trajecturies are shown here.

There is a library of IDL(GDL compatible) scripts to solve the piston-shock model's equations; for further details write to p.coronaromero@igeofisica.unam.mx.

This catalog is in permanent development and its original version can be found at  P. Corona-Romero et.al. [2017] "Calculating travel times and arrival speeds of CMEs to Earth: An analytic tool for space weather forecasting", Space Weather, 15.

An additional catalog of associated shock wave trajectories is under preparation.

 

LASCO Detection
Input parameters
Free parameter
Measured/Calculated travel time (TT) and arrival speed [V1]
Flare rise time
In-situ solar wind
CME initial values

 Date and hour

[YYYY/MM/DD] [hh:mm]

 τf

[h]

n1 u1

[cm-3] [km s-1]

 r0 V0 

[Ro] [km s-1]

 c  TT [h] V1 [km s-1]
1998/04/29 16:58 0.50  3.20 420  3.87 1132 10.46 60.0/50.5 646/667
1998/05/02 14:06 0.15  5.50 479  3.48 938 64.08  65.9/53.4 630/678
2000/01/18 17:54 0.36  5.48 334  3.79 911 18.78  95.1/64.5 393/524
2000/06/06 15:54 0.37  4.30 530  3.98 1119 17.83  45.1/45.7 785/773
2000/07/14 10:54 0.34  3.50 700  5.21 1674 11.87  32.1/31.8 1000/1079
2000/08/09 16:30 0.40  1.92 421  3.33 702 34.24  60.5/65.9 645/566
2000/09/16 05:18 0.30  3.75 540  9.03 1215 19.76  42.7/42.3 830/807
2000/10/09 23:50 0.45  5.82 326  4.03 798 17.79  88.2/69.7 419/494
2001/04/10 05:30 0.35  1.00 590  2.84 2411 6.14  41.0/27.6 730/1139
2001/04/26 12:30 1.33  1.87 455  4.83 1006 4.43  49.5/49.8 684/694
2001/09/28 08:54 0.33  7.13 484  3.17 846 33.08  62.1/55.9 540/661
2001/11/04 16:35 0.32  15.02 411  4.41 1511 11.26  43.4/43.6 800/733
2001/11/22 23:30 0.79  4.70 450  4.77 1437 4.48 38.5/41.0 890/788
2002/03/15 23:06 1.06  12.72 296  4.38 804 6.23  77.9/70.4 427/475
2002/04/15 03:50 0.80  12.98 328  3.99 720 11.14  60.2/72.3 563/484 
2002/08/16 12:30 0.36  3.90 416  3.70 1313 12.08  65.0/47.1 509/697
2003/05/28 00:50 0.15  4.69 610  4.97 1366 38.89  49.2/38.6 750/906
2003/05/29 01:27 0.23  4.69 610  4.95 1237 28.80  42.0/40.5 790/878
2003/10/28 11:30 0.26  10.00 640  5.84 2459 8.63  23.5/26.3  1600/1193
2003/10/29 20:54 0.25  1.30 850  2.92 2029 13.93  29.1/26.5 1074/1308
2003/11/18 08:50 0.34  4.81 445  6.30 1368 12.52  49.2/44.0 669/742
2004/01/20 00:06 1.05  4.62 473  2.90 965 6.50  55.9/51.3 643/692
2004/11/06 02:06 0.29  19.00 490  3.33 1111 22.32  44.9/48.1 690/728
2004/11/07 16:54 0.16  2.00 580  5.70 1759 23.16  50.1/34.4 807/959
2004/12/03 00:26 0.35  6.40 303  4.21 1033 15.33  65.9/63.0 450/516 
2005/01/05 15:30 0.60   15.54 498  3.22 735 25.59  72.5/59.5 540/644 
2005/01/17 09:30 0.53   4.23 550  4.98 2094 4.52  37.5/29.9 970/046
2005/05/13 17:12 0.48   2.76 416  4.57 1689  6.13 36.8/39.4 949/792
2005/08/31 11:30 1.08   5.62 429  2.34 825 7.82  54.5/58.9 624/612
2006/08/16 16:30 0.40   8.38 355  4.37 888 18.03  67.0/63.0 480/543
2006/12/13 02:54 0.45   1.45 569  5.31 1774 6.97  44.1/33.3 844/975
2012/03/07 01:30 0.30   6.00 511  2.36 1568 12.62  43.2/39.1 700/850
2012/03/10 18:00 0.27   8.23 427  3.75 1296 17.30  45.8/47.4 727/701
2012/06/14 14:12 0.70   5.00 300  3.32 987 7.39  57.8/63.4 511/513
2012/07/12 16:48 0.90   5.21 326  2.85 885 6.82  61.7/64.6 600/521
2012/09/28 00:12 0.38   8.14 270  3.60 828 18.25  74.8/75.5 397/439
2013/03/15 07:12 0.96   2.85 420  4.12 1063 5.51  54.3/50.9 669/665
2013/04/11 07:24 0.35   3.23 387  2.79 861 23.61  81.9/62.0 456/569
2014/09/10 18:00 0.33   5.70 350  3.75 1267 13.05  52.8/52.4 710/614
2015/06/21 02:36 0.49   15.00 420  3.53 1366 8.06  46.1/45.3 710/720
Descrition:
  • LASCO detection: Describes the data and hour at which a CME was first observed in coronograph images according the LASCO CME Catalog.
  • Input parameters: data required by piston-shock model to compute CME trajectories from near the Sun to the orbit of Earth.
    • Flare rise time: time period of the X-ray flux from the start up to the maxium peak for the assocated solar flare.
    • In-situ solar wind: density and speed of protons in-situ registerd at 1 Astronomical Unit.
    • CME initial values: initial position and speed of the CME leading edge calculated by coronograph images.
  • Free parameter "c": the only free paramter for the model.
  • Comparisson between travel tiems and arrival speeds for in-situ registerd values and analytically computed ones.

 

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